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CTRI Number  CTRI/2021/01/030245 [Registered on: 05/01/2021] Trial Registered Prospectively
Last Modified On: 17/09/2021
Post Graduate Thesis  Yes 
Type of Trial  Observational 
Type of Study   Secondary Data Analysis 
Study Design  Other 
Public Title of Study   Spatiotemporal Epidemiology (Understanding the space and time distribution and determinants) and Forecasting of Dengue in the state of Punjab, India 
Scientific Title of Study   Spatiotemporal Epidemiology and Forecasting of Dengue in the state of Punjab, India 
Trial Acronym   
Secondary IDs if Any  
Secondary ID  Identifier 
NIL  NIL 
 
Details of Principal Investigator or overall Trial Coordinator (multi-center study)  
Name  Gurpreet Singh 
Designation  PhD Scholar 
Affiliation  Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology 
Address  Room No 33, Third Floor, Achutha Menon Centre for Health Science Studies (AMCHSS), Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology (SCTIMST)

Thiruvananthapuram
KERALA
695011
India 
Phone  8552055667  
Fax    
Email  drgurpreet.md.afmc@gmail.com  
 
Details of Contact Person
Scientific Query
 
Name  Gurpreet Singh 
Designation  PhD Scholar 
Affiliation  Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology 
Address  Room no 33, Third floor, Achutha Menon Centre for Health Science Studies (AMCHSS), Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology (SCTIMST)

Thiruvananthapuram
KERALA
695011
India 
Phone  8552055667  
Fax    
Email  drgurpreet.md.afmc@gmail.com  
 
Details of Contact Person
Public Query
 
Name  Biju Soman 
Designation  Professor (PhD Guide) 
Affiliation  Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute of Medical Sciences and Technology 
Address  Faculty room, Second Floor, Achutha Menon Centre for Health Science Studies (AMCHSS), Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology (SCTIMST)

Thiruvananthapuram
KERALA
695011
India 
Phone  9447862736  
Fax  0471-2446433  
Email  bijusoman@sctimst.ac.in  
 
Source of Monetary or Material Support  
Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology 
 
Primary Sponsor  
Name  Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology 
Address  Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology, Trivandrum, Kerala, India - 695011 
Type of Sponsor  Research institution 
 
Details of Secondary Sponsor  
Name  Address 
NIL  NIL 
 
Countries of Recruitment     India  
Sites of Study  
No of Sites = 2  
Name of Principal Investigator  Name of Site  Site Address  Phone/Fax/Email 
Dr Biju Soman  Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology  Faculty Room, Second Floor, Achutha Menon Centre for Health Science Studies
Thiruvananthapuram
KERALA 
9447862736
04712446433
bijusoman@sctimst.ac.in 
Dr Gurpreet Singh  Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology  Room No 33, Third Floor, Achutha Menon Centre for Health Science Studies
Thiruvananthapuram
KERALA 
8552055667

drgurpreet.md.afmc@gmail.com 
 
Details of Ethics Committee  
No of Ethics Committees= 1  
Name of Committee  Approval Status 
Institutional Ethics Committee, SCTIMST (IEC Regn No. ECR/189/Inst/KL/2013/RR-16)  Approved 
 
Regulatory Clearance Status from DCGI  
Status 
Not Applicable 
 
Health Condition / Problems Studied  
Health Type  Condition 
Patients  (1) ICD-10 Condition: A90||Dengue fever [classical dengue], (2) ICD-10 Condition: A91||Dengue hemorrhagic fever,  
 
Intervention / Comparator Agent  
Type  Name  Details 
 
Inclusion Criteria  
Age From  0.00 Day(s)
Age To  99.00 Year(s)
Gender  Both 
Details  The proposed study shall include all lab-confirmed dengue cases reported by Directorate of Health Services, Punjab from 01 Jan 2015 to 31 Dec 2019.  
 
ExclusionCriteria 
Details  Lab confirmed dengue cases which are not included in the routine health information system. 
 
Method of Generating Random Sequence   Not Applicable 
Method of Concealment   Not Applicable 
Blinding/Masking   Not Applicable 
Primary Outcome  
Outcome  TimePoints 
Understanding of spatiotemporal epidemiology of dengue.
Exploration of associations between risk factors and dengue occurrence.
Development of dengue forecasting models. 
Jan 2022 
 
Secondary Outcome  
Outcome  TimePoints 
Value addition to the existing surveillance for dengue, by incorporating data sources from outside the health sector. The project will strengthen dengue surveillance by using routine data by integrating multiple data sources from non-health sectors. The framework for routine data-based vector-borne disease forecasting models shall provide a process and algorithms to be followed for the development of disease forecasting models using the data science approach.  Jan 2022 
 
Target Sample Size   Total Sample Size="60000"
Sample Size from India="60000" 
Final Enrollment numbers achieved (Total)= "Applicable only for Completed/Terminated trials"
Final Enrollment numbers achieved (India)="Applicable only for Completed/Terminated trials" 
Phase of Trial   N/A 
Date of First Enrollment (India)   13/01/2021 
Date of Study Completion (India) Applicable only for Completed/Terminated trials 
Date of First Enrollment (Global)  Date Missing 
Date of Study Completion (Global) Applicable only for Completed/Terminated trials 
Estimated Duration of Trial   Years="1"
Months="0"
Days="0" 
Recruitment Status of Trial (Global)
Modification(s)  
Not Applicable 
Recruitment Status of Trial (India)  Closed to Recruitment of Participants 
Publication Details
Modification(s)  
Singh G, Soman B. Spatiotemporal Epidemiology and Forecasting of Dengue in the state of Punjab, India: Study Protocol.,. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology 2021; : 100444.  
Individual Participant Data (IPD) Sharing Statement

Will individual participant data (IPD) be shared publicly (including data dictionaries)?  

Response - NO
Brief Summary   The present study will be based on the data science approach. The raw data will be collected from multiple routine data sources in the health sector and other data from non-healthcare sectors such as population enumeration data, satellite imagery data, and climatic data. These historic datasets will be used to train computer programs using reproducible algorithms to understand disease epidemiology. The knowledge gained and learnings will be utilized for the development of a framework for the routine data-based Vector-Borne Disease (VBD) forecasting models. 
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